Italy vs France: betting odds 17 Nov 2024

Italy — France betting tips 17 Nov 2024

The outcome of the main match in the sixth round of the Nations League between Italy and France will be largely symbolic. Both top teams have already secured their spots in the playoffs, so it's unlikely that either side will exert themselves fully in Milan—coaches will aim to keep their players in shape before they return to their clubs.

In this Nations League campaign, Italy have completely redeemed themselves after their disappointing Euro 2024 performance. Over five matches, they have failed to win only their home clash with Belgium (2:2), but they deservedly claimed three points in Brussels on Thursday (1:0), with an xG of 2.48-0.52. It's likely that over the weekend, Italy will rotate their squad, giving important minutes to players like Guglielmo Vicario, Moise Kean, Destiny Udogie, and Giacomo Raspadori.

France shifted to energy-saving mode as early as the fifth round, drawing with Israel (0:0), an outcome that would not have caused much disappointment. Without Kylian Mbappé, France's attack appears less threatening: they couldn't convert any chances against the group's outsider, despite creating 2.22 xG and taking 24 shots. In the final group stage game, Didier Deschamps cannot field Eduardo Camavinga due to yellow card accumulation, and replacement options like Adrien Rabiot or Manu Koné will offer less attacking threat.

In September, Italy managed to overcome France 3:1, utilising their advantage in quick breaks. Both Roberto Mancini and Didier Deschamps will avoid risking their players' health, especially since all tournament objectives have been met. We can expect a friendly-style match with few dangerous chances.

Betting prediction
Total Under 2,5
Cf
Odds
18/25
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Nations League: previous matches in the tournament

Italy
14.11.24
Belgium
Italy
W
14.10.24
Italy
Israel
W
10.10.24
Italy
Belgium
D
09.09.24
Israel
Italy
W
06.09.24
France
Italy
W
More matches
France
14.11.24
France
Israel
D
14.10.24
Belgium
France
W
10.10.24
Israel
France
W
09.09.24
France
Belgium
W
06.09.24
France
Italy
L
More matches

H2H: Italy — France

Nations League 2024-2025
06.09.24
France
Italy
Friendlies 2018
01.06.18
France
Italy
Friendlies 2016-2017
01.09.16
Italy
France
Friendlies 2012
13.11.12
Italy
France
1
:
2
Euro 2008
16.06.08
France
Italy
0
:
2
Euro 2008 Qualifiers
07.09.07
Italy
France
0
:
0
05.09.06
France
Italy
3
:
1
World Cup 2006
08.07.06
Italy
France
1
:
1
Euro 2000
01.07.00
France
Italy
1
:
1

Group stage

League A. Group 2
Team
Played
Matches played
W
D
L
Goals
Goals
Points
Points
1
Italy
  -:- 2:2 4:1 5 4 1 0
12:5
13
2
France
1:3   2:0 0:0 5 3 1 1
9:5
10
3
Belgium
0:1 1:2   3:1 5 1 1 3
6:8
4
4
Israel
1:2 1:4 -:-   5 0 1 4
4:13
1

Team lineups

Italy

Luciano Spalletti
coach
Player Matches Goals
In squad
Gianluigi Donnarumma
gk. 69 -55
Alex Meret
gk. 3 -2
Guglielmo Vicario
gk. 3 -1
Giovanni Di Lorenzo
df. 42 5
Alessandro Bastoni
df. 31 2
Federico Dimarco
df. 27 3
Andrea Cambiaso
df. 11 1
Alessandro Buongiorno
df. 8 0
Iyenoma Destiny Udogie
df. 7 0
Federico Gatti
df. 5 0
Caleb Okoli
df. 0 0
Nicolò Savona
df. 0 0
Pietro Comuzzo
df. 0 0
Nicolò Barella
mf. 57 10
Manuel Locatelli
mf. 27 3
Davide Frattesi
mf. 23 8
Sandro Tonali
mf. 20 1
Daniel Maldini
mf. 1 0
Niccolò Pisilli
mf. 1 0
Nicolo Rovella
mf. 1 0
Giacomo Raspadori
fw. 35 7
Moise Kean
fw. 18 5
Mateo Retegui
fw. 16 6
France

Didier Deschamps
coach
Player Matches Goals
In squad
Mike Maignan
gk. 26 -15
Brice Samba
gk. 3 -4
Lucas Chevalier
gk. 0 0
Benjamin Pavard
df. 54 5
Lucas Digne
df. 49 0
Jules Kounde
df. 38 0
Theo Hernandez
df. 35 2
Dayot Upamecano
df. 27 2
William Saliba
df. 24 0
Ibrahima Konaté
df. 20 0
Jonathan Clauss
df. 14 2
N'Golo Kanté
mf. 63 2
Adrien Rabiot
mf. 48 4
Eduardo Camavinga
mf. 23 2
Matteo Guendouzi
mf. 9 2
Warren Zaïre-Emery
mf. 6 1
Kouadio Koné
mf. 3 0
Kingsley Coman
fw. 58 8
Marcus Thuram
fw. 28 2
Randal Kolo
fw. 25 7
Christopher Nkunku
fw. 12 1
Bradley Laurent Barcola
fw. 9 2
Michael Akpovie Olise
fw. 4 0
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